Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.000676 0.000768 0.000866 0.000976 0.001097 0.001226 0.001373
2025-10-12 0.000541 0.000670 0.000816 0.000991 0.001196 0.001425 0.001701
2025-10-19 0.000456 0.000600 0.000770 0.000983 0.001241 0.001542 0.001915
2025-10-26 0.000389 0.000541 0.000727 0.000970 0.001274 0.001638 0.002102
2025-11-02 0.000346 0.000505 0.000707 0.000978 0.001328 0.001756 0.002315
2025-11-09 0.000308 0.000471 0.000684 0.000979 0.001369 0.001857 0.002507
2025-11-16 0.000265 0.000424 0.000640 0.000948 0.001364 0.001897 0.002621
2025-11-23 0.000231 0.000386 0.000604 0.000923 0.001365 0.001943 0.002740
2025-11-30 0.000207 0.000362 0.000585 0.000919 0.001392 0.002021 0.002901
2025-12-07 0.000188 0.000341 0.000569 0.000919 0.001422 0.002103 0.003069
2025-12-14 0.000168 0.000318 0.000548 0.000908 0.001437 0.002164 0.003210
2025-12-21 0.000150 0.000296 0.000525 0.000893 0.001444 0.002212 0.003332
2025-12-28 0.000142 0.000290 0.000529 0.000919 0.001512 0.002348 0.003581
2026-01-04 0.000133 0.000282 0.000527 0.000936 0.001566 0.002466 0.003807
2026-01-11 0.000120 0.000265 0.000511 0.000928 0.001582 0.002530 0.003958
2026-01-18 0.000108 0.000248 0.000492 0.000915 0.001591 0.002582 0.004092
2026-01-25 0.000100 0.000239 0.000486 0.000923 0.001630 0.002680 0.004294
2026-02-01 0.000092 0.000228 0.000477 0.000924 0.001659 0.002761 0.004473
2026-02-08 0.000080 0.000208 0.000450 0.000894 0.001636 0.002766 0.004539
2026-02-15 0.000071 0.000192 0.000428 0.000871 0.001623 0.002783 0.004623
2026-02-22 0.000065 0.000182 0.000417 0.000867 0.001641 0.002848 0.004779
2026-03-01 0.000059 0.000174 0.000409 0.000866 0.001664 0.002921 0.004949
2026-03-08 0.000054 0.000164 0.000396 0.000856 0.001672 0.002969 0.005080